Blog
Guides, comparisons and straight answers about trading backtesting, so you can test your strategy before you put real money on the line.
· More from the blog
Fair Value Gap (FVG): what it is and how to backtest it for real
The three-candle gap every Smart Money Concepts trader looks for on the chart: what it is, how it forms and how to check whether it really gives you an edge.
- Education
How much backtesting you need before live trading: what the evidence says
"When you feel ready" isn't something you can measure. These are the concrete signals that are.
- Statistics
How many trades you need for your win rate to be statistically significant
30 to 50 trades is the minimum before moving to a demo account. Here's why that number exists, not just what it is.
- Statistics
Ulcer Index, Sortino and Calmar: the risk metrics your win rate won't show you
Two strategies can have the same expectancy and feel completely different to stick with. These three metrics show you that difference.
- Statistics
Relative vs. absolute drawdown: why the same number can feel so different
A 20% drawdown doesn't mean the same thing measured from your starting balance as from your equity high. Here's how to read both.
- Risk management
Dynamic vs. fixed position sizing: how to backtest risk that changes with your streak
Your position size is a variable you can backtest too, not just your entries and exits.
- Psychology
Cherry-picking without realizing it: why your backtesting date range isn't neutral
It's not about reviewing only your winners (that's a different bias). It's choosing, without noticing, a stretch of history that favors your strategy before you play a single candle.